WVBI COVID-19 Update for July 9, 2020

Governor Whitmer was on C-N-N last night saying that she hopes to allow schools to open this fall for in person classes, but she won’t do it if it is not safe—and she says she is very concerned about that now. If the Governor sticks to the plan announced a few weeks ago, schools will open for in person classes if they are in a zone of the state that is at Phase 4 or higher of her recovery plan. Here on the island, our zone is now in Phase 5.
A look at the current and historical COVID-19 data for northern Michigan shows that things would have to deteriorate dramatically for the region to drop back to Phase 3 or below. Downstate, the picture is less clear.
State-wide numbers reported yesterday showed the biggest batch of new cases since late May with 610 new ones confirmed. That brings the running average to 444, where it hasn’t been since mid-May. Ten deaths were reported. Running average is at nine. Those numbers bring the total cases in Michigan to 67,237 with 6,015 deaths. State-wide, officials report 52,841 recoveries. Taking into account deaths, that leaves 7,780 active cases.
On the island, no change in the data. Still at 96 tests run. 93 tests results back. 92 negatives. Still only one back as positive. Three tests still pending.
In our region, the confirmed case count is up five cases to 316. Leelanau up two to 28. Grand Traverse up one to 68. Emmet up one to 28. And Antrim up one to 23. Death toll is at 22. Full county by county data are in today’s script. [Otsego confirmed case count is at 106 with 10 deaths. Grand Traverse is at 68 cases with six deaths. Emmet is at 28 with two deaths. Leelanau at 28, no deaths. Kalkaska has 28 confirmed cases two deaths. Charlevoix has 26 cases including one from the island, and two deaths. Antrim 23 cases, still no deaths. And Benzie is at 9 cases and no deaths.] U-P is up eight to 227. Death toll is stable at 18.
Looking at data for our region of the state as defined in the recovery plan, the new case rate per million ran up from mid-June to July 1st, but has been falling so far this month. Meanwhile, the daily testing rate hit its all-time high for the region on Saturday with 1,201 tests run. Positive results have been inching up since mid-June when they were at point six percent. They are now at 2.4 percent, but still classified as representing a low risk. Nevertheless, state official yesterday moved our region and the U-P from their low risk bucket to a medium risk because of increased cases and increased positive tests.