COVID-19

WVBI COVID-19 Update for October 19, 2020

The number of COVID-19 cases has been surging overall in the state –but not so much in our region.  Friday and Saturday’s reports included 3,806 new cases and 37 deaths state wide.  That brings totals to 144,897 cases—with 30,205 active—and 7,010 deaths.  Average is 1,463 new cases a day and 17 deaths a day. Safe start numbers for the state are 4.5% for the positive test rate—which continues to blip up—and 115.8 new cases per million, which looks like it has gone up if you compare that to the last number—but is shown as going down on the Safe Start page.  That’s quite often the case calling into question how accurate those calculations are.  We report on them because state officials say they rely on them in making their plans.

 

While cases surge state-wide, that’s not what’s happen in the group of counties we’ve followed here at W-V-B-I since the start—or in our safe start recovery zone, which is northern lower Michigan.  In our region there were 40 new cases in the Friday and Saturday reports and one new death. Two of the new cases are in Charlevoix.  The death was in Grand Traverse.  Total of active cases in the region is 390.  Average for new cases is 17 and the average for deaths is 0.  For what they may be worth, safe start numbers for our zone continue to look good with a 2.3 percent positive test rate—with less than 3% as the target—and new cases at 42.4 per million—again a number higher than that shown Friday but still graphed on a downward trend on the safe start page.  That’s above the target and in the B zone on the state’s low then A to E scale. At the health center, they are reporting another test run and three more back as negative. That puts us as 198 tests run with 190 back negative.  Two tests pending. Six positive tests none of which are active on the island.

 

Full county-by-county data for both Friday and Saturday for our region are in today’s script online along with state, regional, U-P and Safe Start Zone totals, plus rolling averages and active case estimates.

 

 

 

Cases

Deaths

Δ Cases

Δ Deaths

Totals

State

143106

6987

2015

14

Region

1406

38

24

0

TVC Zone

2070

67

41

0

UP

3959

63

146

1

Note: 7 deaths are reclassifications from prior dates

 

 

7 Day Rolling Averages

State

1212

17

 

Region

15

0

 

TVC Zone

23

0

 

UP

90

2

Note: Look back now 6 days divided by 7 to adj. for no Sun. data.

 

 

County

Cases

Deaths

Δ Cases

Δ Deaths

Region

Antrim

80

0

1

0

Benzie

94

2

0

0

Charlevoix

116

4

2

0

Emmet

168

4

0

0

Grand Traverse

557

12

9

0

Kalkaska

92

4

6

0

Leelanau

120

1

4

0

Otsego

179

11

2

0

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Est. Active Cases

State

29243

 

 

Region

384

 

 

TVC Zone

544

 

 

UP

2612

Note: Look back now 26 days to adjust for 4 Sundays with no data.

 

Data from 10/16/2020

 

 

 

Cases

Deaths

Δ Cases

Δ Deaths

Totals

State

144897

7010

1791

23

Region

1422

39

16

1

TVC Zone

2098

68

28

1

UP

4313

67

354

4

Note: 7 deaths are reclassifications from prior dates

 

 

7 Day Rolling Averages

State

1463

17

 

Region

17

1

 

TVC Zone

26

1

 

UP

138

2

Note: Look back now 6 days divided by 7 to adj. for no Sun. data.

 

 

County

Cases

Deaths

Δ Cases

Δ Deaths

Region

Antrim

81

0

1

0

Benzie

96

2

2

0

Charlevoix

118

4

2

0

Emmet

170

4

2

0

Grand Traverse

560

13

3

1

Kalkaska

96

4

4

0

Leelanau

120

1

0

0

Otsego

181

11

2

0

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Est. Active Cases

State

30205

 

 

Region

390

 

 

TVC Zone

565

 

 

UP

2928

Note: Look back now 26 days to adjust for 4 Sundays with no data.

 

Data from 10/17/2020