COVID-19

WVBI COVID-19 Update for January 4, 2021

If past numbers hold, COVID-19 would wind up being the number three cause of death in Michigan in 2020 claiming 12,333 lives as of the 30th.  In 2018, only Heart Disease and Cancer claimed more Michigander lives than that.  Way behind that are pneumonia and the flu, which typically claim about 2,000 lives a year.  In some weeks last year COVID-19 killed more than 900 people.

 

Meantime, more than 50,000 students left public Michigan K-12 schools this year for home schooling, private and charter schools.  Some of that is linked to COVID-19 with 13,000 alone attributable to parents delaying kindergarten. 17,000 left for homeschooling.  Unlike the island, most districts across the state are funded on the basis of enrollment—so the decline has direct funding impact.  Grand Rapids school are looking at losing about $1 million as a result of enrollment declines.

 

New COVID-19 case numbers state-wide continue to look good now a week out from the Christmas holiday. The statewide report on Saturday covered three days and had 8,983 new cases new cases—about 2,994 a day, down from 4,222 on New Year’s Eve.   There were 54 new deaths or about 18 a day, down from 51 new deaths on the 31st along with 211 reclassified deaths from prior dates.  The seven-day running average for new cases is up by to 2,837—an increase of just over 200.  For deaths it is 81—that number still lagging high because of deaths reclassified from prior dates. In the eight-county region we’ve followed from the start, there were 214 new cases or 71 a day, up from 31 on the 31st. There were five new deaths over the three day period.  Charlevoix had four cases removed and no new deaths.  Deaths were in Antrim, Grand Traverse, Kalkaska, Leelanau and Otsego with one each. Averages for the region are 48 new cases and two deaths a day.

 

Statewide there are now 147,106 active cases—up by about 1,000.  Our region has 2,501—up by about 50. 

 

Last reported average positivity rate statewide is up a titch at 8.4% and down a titch to 6.6% for our safe start zone.  The rate in Charlevoix county is 2%. The C-D-C target is 3%.  No change in the hospital occupancy reports as the data haven’t been updated.  The numbers continue to look good.   74.4% of in-patient rooms are in use statewide and 72% in our region.  For I-C-Us, the rate is 75.8% for the state and 67.8% locally. Those numbers are for overall utilization—not just for COVID-19.  The COVID-19 case count in our local hospitals is unchanged. Munson Hospital in Charlevoix has one COVID-19 patients, in a regular room.  At McLaren in Petoskey, they have 10 patients–all of them are in their I-C-U. 

 

On the island, the Health Center has no updates.  There is one test pending. No new positives since December 7th.

 

Complete data for our region plus summaries for the state, the T-C safe start zone and the U-P are in today’s script online.

 

 

 

Cases

Deaths

Δ Cases

Δ Deaths

Totals

State

497127

12598

8983

265

Region

7716

163

214

5

TVC Zone

12989

311

373

12

UP

14416

324

161

0

211 of the total deaths are reclassifications. This report covers 3 days.

 

 

7 Day Rolling Averages

State

2837

81

 

Region

48

2

 

TVC Zone

80

4

 

UP

47

1

Note: Look back 4 days to adj. for no 12/31-1/1 & no Sunday data.

 

 

County

Cases

Deaths

Δ Cases

Δ Deaths

Region

Antrim

567

10

38

1

Benzie

596

25

32

0

Charlevoix

718

10

-4

0

Emmet

1083

33

25

0

Grand Traverse

2855

44

111

1

Kalkaska

464

13

6

1

Leelanau

565

8

12

1

Otsego

868

20

-6

1

Link to data.

 

 

 

 

 

 

Est. Active Cases (cases <31 days old)

State

147106

 

 

Region

2501

 

 

TVC Zone

4636

 

 

UP

2680

Note: Look back now 26 days to adjust for 4 Sundays with no data.

 

 

Data from January 2, 2021